Technical note: comparison of methods for threshold selection for extreme sea levels

Caballero-Megido, C. and Hillier, J. and Wyncoll, D. and Bosher, D. and Gouldby, B.P. (2018) Technical note: comparison of methods for threshold selection for extreme sea levels. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 11 (2).

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Official URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jfr3.12...

Abstract

Extreme value analysis is an important tool for studying coastal flood risk, but requires the estimation of a threshold to define an ‘extreme’, which is traditionally undertaken visually. Such subjective judgement is not accurately reproducible, so recently a number of quantitative approaches have been proposed. This paper therefore reviews existing methods, illustrated with coastal tide-gauge data and the Generalized Pareto Distribution, and proposes a new automated method that mimics the enduringly popular visual inspection method. In total, five different types of statistical threshold selection and their variants are evaluated by comparison to manually derived thresholds, demonstrating that the new method is a useful, complementary tool.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: Floods > General
Coasts > General
Divisions: Coastal
Floods
Depositing User: Unnamed user with email i.services@hrwallingford.com
Date Deposited: 02 Apr 2020 09:53
Last Modified: 24 Apr 2020 07:32
URI: http://eprints.hrwallingford.com/id/eprint/1278

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