Brady, O., Hofmann, B., Colón-González, F., Gibb, R., Lowe, R., Tsarouchi, G., Harpham, Q., Lumbroso, D., Trong Lan, P. and Sinh Nam, V. (2023) Relaxation of anti-COVID-19 measures reveals new challenges for infectious disease outbreak forecasting. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.
Abstract
Since early 2020, countries around the world have seen unprecedented government-imposed restrictions and behavioural changes that have changed the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. These changes have posed unique challenges for routine seasonal infectious disease forecasting systems, which have seen the relevance of their rich long-term pre-COVID-19 datasets for prediction questioned in this new era.
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