Hawkes, P., Svensson, C. and Surendran, S. (2005) The joint probability of pairs of variables relevant to flood risk: dependence mapping and best practice. In: Defra Flood and Coastal Management Conference 2005, 5 - 7 July 2005, York, UK.
Flooding is often associated with the simultaneous occurrence of high values of two or more source variables, for example:
• waves with sea level for coastal flood risk
• fluvial flow with sea level for river flood risk
• intense rainfall with high sea or river level for urban flood risk
This paper introduces the results of a recently completed programme of research into the dependence between flood risk variables in the UK, intended to increase the take up and reliability of joint probability methods within flood risk analysis and defence design.
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
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